17 Jul · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1498
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vorel
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1440
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (66)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H11-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)