17 Jul · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1638
FormWLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1740
FormLWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~72 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H71-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-47)