18 Jul · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1546
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zeniuk
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1611
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Zeniuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)