18 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1546
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Haiseniuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 71% (55)
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H14-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.