18 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Priadko
ELO 1305
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ananiev
VA
🇺🇦Vitalii Ananiev
ELO 1369
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Ananiev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)