18 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VP
🇺🇦Volodymyr Plishylo
ELO 1515
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Haiseniuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🌟Plishylo covers set handicap as underdog 72% (82)
Fair odds · Haiseniuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H15-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.