18 Jul · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DA
🇺🇦Denis Aldayev
ELO 1304
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fastov
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1420
FormWLLLL
38%
62%
🌟Aldayev rarely covers set handicap as underdog 27% (15)
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~71 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)