18 Jul · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇺🇦Jakub Makara
ELO 1599
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Makara
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1588
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 70% (40)
Fair odds · Makara
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.