18 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZK
🇺🇦Zdenek Kuksa
ELO 1545
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gruber
JG
🇺🇦Josef Gruber
ELO 1607
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Kuksa covers set handicap as underdog 70% (30)
Fair odds · Gruber
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H1-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)