19 Jul · 05:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Maxim Marchuk
ELO 1496
FormLLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Gomilko
OG
🇺🇦Oleksandr Gomilko
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Marchuk🌟Marchuk covers set handicap as underdog 66% (29)
Fair odds · Gomilko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H49-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)