19 Jul · 04:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1549
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Parahailo
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1495
FormWWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H61-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-41)