19 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1695
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H16-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-13)