19 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kuzyshyn
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.