19 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Prus
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1498
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H16-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.