19 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1628
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Aristarkhov
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1695
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Aristarkhov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)