19 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1892
FormLLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Baday
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1741
FormWLWLL
66%
34%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 64% (129)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+151
H2H108-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (108-7)