19 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1628
FormWLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Baday
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1892
FormLLLWL
24%
76%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 64% (129)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H59-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-11)