19 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zhyrnov
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H16-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)