19 Jul · 07:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Andrishak
RA
🇺🇦Ruslan Andrishak
ELO 1593
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Sydorchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (45)
Fair odds · Andrishak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.