19 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1500
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dobrovolskyi
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1498
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Prus covers set handicap as underdog 73% (51)
Fair odds · Dobrovolskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.