19 Jul · 12:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1500
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dobrovolskyi
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1484
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as underdog 66% (44)
Fair odds · Dobrovolskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H24-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.