19 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrykh
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrytsenko🌟Mrykh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (55)
Fair odds · Mrykh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.