19 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VD
🇺🇦Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
ELO 1500
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sydorchuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Sydorchuk
ELO 1586
FormLLWWW
41%
59%
🌟Dobrovolskyi stays under total as underdog 68% (93)
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~71 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H27-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-7)