19 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇺🇦Maksym Baday
ELO 1892
FormLLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Baday
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1695
FormWWLWW
70%
30%
🌟Baday goes over total as favourite 64% (129)
Fair odds · Baday
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H37-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-5)