19 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
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🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sorochan
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Sorochan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (29)
Fair odds · Sorochan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H7-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.