19 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1518
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Seeman
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1472
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holub🌟Seeman goes over total as favourite 68% (25)
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)