19 Jul · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BZ
🇺🇦Bohdan Zaika
ELO 1519
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zaika
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Zaika rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (38)
Fair odds · Zaika
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.