19 Jul · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Shyshman
ELO 1525
FormWLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Shyshman
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1494
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Shyshman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.