19 Jul · 09:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Ponomarenko
ELO 1358
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ponomarenko
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Mykhailenko
ELO 1238
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Ponomarenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)