19 Jul · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇺🇦Mykhailo Mykhailenko
ELO 1238
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkalich
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tkalich
ELO 1332
FormLLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tkalich
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~71 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)