19 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1475
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Seeman
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1518
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Seeman goes over total as favourite 68% (25)
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)