19 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1459
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Napirko
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Napirko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (69)
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H27-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)