19 Jul · 08:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Seeman
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1518
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vydra🌟Vydra covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)