19 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1553
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1628
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H77-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-34)