19 Jul · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tiutiunnyk
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.