19 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1741
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lushchyk
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1731
FormWWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H29-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.