19 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇺🇦Jan Krames Sr
ELO 1608
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sr
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1593
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Burylov🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 71% (42)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.