19 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1473
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novakov
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1437
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Novakov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.