19 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1423
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Baranskyi
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Baranskyi
ELO 1445
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Baranskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.