19 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tiutiunnyk
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 65% (51)
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.