19 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1575
FormLWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)