19 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tiutiunnyk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Blashkun
ELO 1455
FormLWWWL
57%
43%
🌟Blashkun stays under total as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Tiutiunnyk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)