19 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kotrbacek
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kotrbacek
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kotrbacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H3-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)