19 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzyshyn
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kuzyshyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.