19 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Zhyrnov
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zhyrnov
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zhyrnov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)