19 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DG
🇺🇦David Gasparovic
ELO 1606
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gasparovic
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Burylov
ELO 1593
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟Burylov covers set handicap as underdog 71% (42)
Fair odds · Gasparovic
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.