19 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇺🇦Roman Sveshnykov
ELO 1422
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)