19 Jul · 16:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stetsenko
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1433
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 63% (70)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)