19 Jul · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1488
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1535
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)