19 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Levytskyi
ELO 1321
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Novik
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Novik
ELO 1358
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Levytskyi stays under total as underdog 64% (33)
Fair odds · Novik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 21% · 4.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.